January 27, 2021
The auto component industry is bracing for the tectonic
Pune: The auto component industry is bracing for the tectonic shift in the
automobile sector from the expected exit of diesel cars and arrival of electric
vehicles."Shift of diesel in passenger vehicles has already declined from 58 per
cent in FY2013 to 36-37 per cent in FY2019, and the decline will be even steeper
post-BS VI transition,†Subrata Ray, Senior Group Vice President at ICRA rating
firm told FC."After market supplier service is big business and component
manufacturers have the existing market to supply spare parts,†he said,
admitting that the industry was facing tough challenges even as diesel car costs
would increase 15-20 per cent post BS 6 emission norms. "The transition from
combustion engine to e-mobility will massively pick up speed between 2025 and
2030,†he said.Three weeks ago, Maruti Suzuki, the biggest diesel car maker,
announced it would stop making diesel vehicles from April 1, 2020 when the new
BS 6 fuel emission norms will be introduced. Though most manufacturers have
begun the process of aligning their capacities and ca pabilities to the emerging
scenario, certain component suppliers for turbochargers and fuel injection
component would be hard hit, according to industry captains and auto analysts.
On
transition to electric vehicles, Ray said it is still sometime away and hence,
it is unlikely to have any material impact on component-makers performance over
the next five years."As India moves towards reducing carbon emissions
significantly in the years to come, we believe there will be further
opportunities beyond diesel/gasoline vehicles and others,†he said, adding that
he expects the compact car segment to accelerate towards petrol engines, to
begin with.Some companies like Schaeffler India have mentioned the impact of
this in their recent quarterly calls, she pointed out.."Casting & forging
suppliers will not be significantly impacted, as loss of diesel business can be
compensated by gain in petrol – assuming they are supplier for both engine
platforms,†he said.BorgWarner, US based company, said it was constantly
developing technologies to help companies, as the automotive industry is
characterised by constant changes. Its spokesman said the demand for hybrid and
electrical architectures will increase in order to comply with the new emissions
regulations.Doreswamy also expects opportunities to develop in the hybrid
vehicles.Vinnie Mehta, Director General of the Automotive Component
Manufactur-ers Association of India, or ACMA, said while the component makers
have had a great run with the diesel category, there is another opportunity of
catering to huge vehicle parc (a European PET
injection molding machine term for total number of vehicles in use) in the
country which needs repairing and maintenance.
Ray said component manufacturers
are already aware of underlying changes in the industry and they are aligning
their capacity accordingly.However, certain component suppliers for
turbochargers and fuel injection component may witness some impact on their
revenue and profitability, Ray pointed out.However, diversified companies across
products and segments, such as passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles,
two-wheelers and tractors, would be more insulated from such shocks, Ponniah
explained.Specific component firms manufacturing products for turbochargers,
feul injection, diesel filters and a few engine components (diesel power train
typically has more content than petrol engines) would be more impacted than
process capabilities companies, Pavethra Ponniah, Vice President and Sector
Head, Corporate Sector Ratings at ICRA, said.The high cost of upgrading existing
diesel engines to the BS 6 norms has prompted the automakers to take the hard
decision."Most automotive manufacturers in India are well-prepared to meet the
BS 6 emission regulations from 2020 as they have been exporters of vehicles/
automotive components to countries where Euro 6 standards exist,†Prashanth
Doreswamy, Market Head at Continental India and MD at Continental Auto-motive
India, said.At present diesel cars at Maruti, which sells one car out of two
bought in the country, account for almost a third of its sales. Mahindra, the
third biggest passenger vehicle maker, and Tata Motors also joined in.He said in
April 2018, ICRA has estimated that diesel share in passenger vehicles will
decline below 25 per cent by FY2022. Moreover, disel cars meeting BS 6 fuel
emission norms would be costlier by Rs 2 lakh to Rs 3 lakh
Posted by: ridoldiub at
03:17 AM
| No Comments
| Add Comment
Post contains 693 words, total size 5 kb.
13kb generated in CPU 0.0069, elapsed 0.0327 seconds.
35 queries taking 0.0284 seconds, 46 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.
35 queries taking 0.0284 seconds, 46 records returned.
Powered by Minx 1.1.6c-pink.